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Concert formulas
16 March, 2023I have opinions about concerts.
Like of artist * # of Friends going * Outside/Festival Worth going = --------------------------------------------------------------- Ticket Price * Size of Venue * Price of Beer * Artist UbiquityWhy? I think he numerator is pretty un objectionable. Lets
- Artist Ubiquity is probably the weirdest term. I am using this as a combination of
- saturation: is the music everywhere? have you already heard most of this? are there already multiple live albums
- wealth: long popular artists are generally wealthy. Do you want to feed the hyper wealthy class and give them more power in the industry
- ageism: I think artists like athletes (and the rest of us) have a peek and generally decline. The audience also skus older and is less rowdy.
Some personal examples. Willie Nelson and Hank willams jr are both musicians i love but both have a discography a mile long, have multimillion dollar ranches and are pretty decrepit old dudes at this point. Put AC/DC in here (also bands with a dead member are weird… Syknyrd). George Straight is less extreame example who is still touring. Still kind of old and modeately wealthy but less shoved in your face. Obviously best to catch Lizzo right before she blows up but still fine to go see her at the height of her powers.
- Stadiums are terible venues. Either you’re far away or they’re blasting you. Tractor tavern or sodo » Key arena & t-mobile park. Perhaps I’m just bitter because the reverb fo the alabama concert in cardinal stadium was so bad.
- Price of beer is also a stand-in for crowd rowdy-ness mentioned earlier. Is the audience active or passive.
- ticket price is pretty obvious. Goto 10 smaller ones. But I worry some become luxury goods where price actually increases demand.
Comments - Artist Ubiquity is probably the weirdest term. I am using this as a combination of
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No Direction Home
I watched No Direction home over a couple of days. It’s 4 hours but its great mostly because of the other artists you get to see/hear.
I was reminded to never meet your heroes. Like many artists, athletes, CEOs, he’s not necessarily a good person. See Michael Jackson, Aaron Rodgers, Jack Welch.
Dylan flaked on the Suze Rotolo and Joan Baez and the film doesn’t dwell on it. He also doesn’t really feel like he owes anything to the protest movement, civil rights movement after they pushed him forward. Asked if he’ll attend some vietnam protest he responds “nah I’m busy”. He just seems be a musical sponge who wants to make music and play with words.
On electrifcation it’s interesting how much people felt he owed them. Booing at concerts they paid to attend. Never saying “I didn’t like that as much”, but callign him hypocrite traitor sellout.
But the best part is dylan playing with the media.
- A talk show host calls him a genius and dylan almost loses it laughing.
- reporter: as a person over 30 I know you’re not into labels but could you label your self. Dylan: I’d label myself as well under 30 and trying to stay there as long as I can
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reporter: “Of the lyrical vineyard you work, how many other artists consider them protest song-writers. dylan thinks for a while …. 134
reporter: 134 about or precisely
Dylan: it’s eiether 134 or 148.
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reporter: do you view your self as a beatnik? dylan: I don’t know what yo you think about me?
reporter: I don’t know I haven’t listed to your songs
Dylan: You haven’t listed to my songs why the fuck are you asking me questions
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reporter: can you suck on your glasses.
Dylan considers it for a moment.. ah no… do you want to suck on my glasses?
Hands glasses to reporter who proceeds to stick them in his mouth.
- Dylan surronded by people taking is picture proceeds to take out a camera an snap pictures back
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General Electric
Turns out march 2013 was a good time to read a book about how GE was secretly a bank that failed.
- Jack was a womanizer I guess I shouldnt be suprised
- Recap of the disaster
- In the 90s, GE used its AAA credit rating to grow a ginormous financial divison that accounted for 50% of its profits. Some parts were related (airplane, power leasing). Some parts were not. (leveraged buyouts, real estate, insurance). It did not have backup lines of credit but used short term loans that could (and did) dry up.
- 2001 made people realize GE had huge liabilities because it insured both planes and the wtc. (I was familiar with this part)
- 2007-8 GE capital did not divest from real estate (despite some internal advice to do so). It went down hard, maybe almost bankrupt. It’s short term financing went away and credit rating went down. It snuck into bailouts by the skin of its teeth by getting declared structurally important.
- 2018, same time Jeff got ousted at CEO, it got a double whammy. A small LTC insurance business it failed to spinoff posted a 20 BILLION loss because its models sucked. The power business crapped itself (part failed merger, part terrible forcast, par bad management).
- GE is now basically a jet engine business and a seperate power business .
- Though the book is ambivalent about whether Jeff or Jack set up GE to fail it leans more heavily to jeff. But not sure that’s right. Jeff did try and unwind GE capital but kinda of failed to miss the most important parts (real estate and the LTC). It’s not clear what Jack built was ever sustainable. Success has a thousand fathers and failure is an orphan. Jeff is that orphhan.
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irrational beliefs
23 February, 2023This list will grow over time.
- online dating is bad.
- diet coke gives you cancer. artifical sweeters and lite beer are bad for you
- tank tops and vests are dumb.
- pro-natalism
- Green lawns are great.
- Hamilton (the musical) is terrible.
- pickup truck are great
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Bad User Flows
21 January, 2023Turbo tax
type in email address to turbax login email a code. enter it are you
[email protected] or millerp83? Pick email. Sends txt code. Enter it Actually you should use millerp83? Oka Sends another txt code. Enter it. You need an email code too. Sent a differnt one. Enter it. Change your password or skip? Skip? I guess? Why are you asking? Time for taxes.
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